Trout should easily surpass Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard, who set the record for a first-time eligible in 2008, when a jury awarded him $ 10,000,000.
If you think it’s too early for the Angels to worry about things, think again. The potential for trout to earn three very large arbitration awards – let’s go conservative number of $ 12 million, $ 16 million and $ 20 million, just for the sake of discussion – can dissuade him from signing long-term.
Trout, who turned 22 last Wednesday, gets financial security once he signs his first contract arbitration; her deal could be worth more than second baseman Jose Altuve’s recent four-year, $ 12.5 million extension with the Houston Astros.
And Trout, a native of Millville, NJ, declines to sign with the Angels long term, he will become a free agent at 26, with the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies probably drooling over the prospect of bringing him back east.
Never gonna happen? Well, the angels trout renewal of contract with $ 510,000 this season, $ 20,000 above the minimum wage, prompting an angry response from the player’s agent, Craig Landis. And while a fat long-term deal apparently can make everyone happy, it would leave the Angels contract with a third monster to go there first baseman Albert Pujols, who signed for $ 24 million per period through 2021, and outfielder Josh Hamilton, who signed over $ 25,000,000 per season through ’17.
Trout, in his first full season, won the American League Rookie of the Year and finished second to Miguel Cabrera in a hotly contested MVP vote. This season, he ranks third in the AL in OPS Cabrera and the Orioles’ Chris Davis, and also stole 26 bases in 30 attempts.
But to compare best trout Howard, consider their career Wins Above Replacement (war), a statistic that tries to encompass the offense, defense and baserunning.
According to baseball-reference.com, Howard had a career 11.9 war when he received his award $ 10 million in arbitration; won his case in part because of its “special accomplishments,” including his 2005 NL Rookie of the Year Award and 2006 MVP.
Trout, by two-plus periods, there is a war claiming 17.2. By the time he becomes eligible for arbitration, he could double which Howard is entering ’08. He could also record the highest war by a player in his first three season, beating Ted Williams ’23 .6 from 1939 to ’41.
What is all that worth? Heaven only knows. But perhaps Trout can file any arbitration numbers and justify it. And for the angels, that certainly is a scary thought.
SO, WHO takes the fall?
Of course, the faster query with angels is both general manager Jerry Dipoto and manager Mike Scioscia will keep their jobs beyond this season.
No one person is to blame for the Angels’ collapse, but it is hard to imagine that owner Arte Moreno maintaining the status Quo when his team opened the season with the sixth highest Payroll game and currently hold the fourth-worst record in the AL.
Tension persists between Dipoto and Scioscia, according to major league sources. Attendance is also an issue – the Angels declined from an average of 42,059 in 2006 to 37,149 this season, their lowest figure since 2002. And their current average likely will decline more valuable team playing meaningless games the rest of the season.
Dipoto would appear at higher risk than Scioscia – the GM is responsible for the ill-fated acquisition of right-handers Joe Blanton, Tommy Hanson and Ryan Madson last offseason. What’s more, Dipoto also under contract only through 2014, while Scioscia signed by ’18.
Then again, this is only the second year Dipoto to work, and he appeared to lose flexibility Payroll last winter when the Angels – Moreno’s command – Hamilton signed a five-year, $ 125 million free-agent contract.
The Angels entered the season with the game’s weakest farm system according to Baseball America, but Dipoto has presided over just two drafts. For what it’s worth, five of seven farm club team likely headed to the playoffs, though cynics note that the team recently signed left-hander Dontrelle Willis, 31, and infielder Andy Marte, 29, to bolster Triple A Salt City lake.
As for Scioscia, little has changed since the early period, when I wrote about how the Angels barely resembled its crisp, aggressive teams of the past. Just last week, Scioscia held a team meeting after the Angels allowed six stolen bases in a 8-3 loss to the Texas Rangers, then conducted a special exercise on the basis of the next day.
I’ll repeat what I wrote in May: Fourteen years is a long time for a manager to stay in one place. Especially when everything is not the same.
The Detroit Tigers acquired shortstop Jose Iglesias to cover for the suspension of Jhonny Peralta, and the Texas Rangers traded outfielder Alex Rios following the suspension of right fielder Nelson Cruz.
Would the Tigers and Rangers bring back their stars once their suspension is complete? At this point, perhaps the best answer is, “It depends.”
Depending on how Iglesias and Rios performed. Depending on how the other hitters on either team is injured. Depending on Peralta and Cruz can be trusted to perform at a high level after missing 50 games.
Suspended players are allowed to exercise their major league clubs, take Cage skills before the gates open and participate in workouts and simulated / exhibition games in their teams’ minor league complexes. None of those options, of course, is close to matching the intensity of a postseason game.
One thing seems clear: Peralta and Cruz would not be pariahs way Melky Cabrera is with the San Francisco Giants last season. Both Peralta, a Tiger since 2010, and Cruz, a Ranger since ’06, built more equity in their teammates than Cabrera, who was in his first season in San Francisco.
The Giants, of course, Cabrera did not return after his suspension ended in time for the National League Championship Series, and won the World Series without him.
In any case, the Tigers and Rangers conceive to be pragmatic. They are trying to win championships. And they do not have to apologize for Peralta and Cruz once two players serve their penalty.
Greinke IN HIS catcher: You Lost!
Los Angeles Dodgers right-hander Zack Greinke was famously blunt, but even catcher AJ Ellis was taken aback by an exchange she had a pitcher during a game Sunday afternoon in San Diego in late June.
The Dodgers were struggling at the time, so Ellis enlisted Greinke, a student of the game, play GM. Neither will play on that day, so Ellis said Greinke Cage during practice, “Let’s learn how to make the team better.”
Greinke responded, “Let me think about it.” Then, while sitting on the bench during the game, he knew Ellis of its solutions.
“The first thing I am doing Trading you and signing Brian McCann,” Greinke said, referring to the Atlanta Braves’ catcher, who is a free agent at the end of the season.
Ellis, who is achieving $ 2 million, said Greinke also told him that he priced himself out the Dodgers’ plans, as if such a thing is even possible. When I asked about that Greinke, he denied the charge.
“He did not pricing itself out,” Greinke said his teammate, who has two years of arbitration left. “He’s not a home-run hitter. Home-run hitters are priced themselves out.”
Ellis in fact has only 21 career homers in 912 at-bats, but he offended Greinke’s honest assessment. In fact, the debate over Ellis’ values have become a running joke between the two.
“He is probably the most refreshing teammate I’ve ever had,” Ellis said. “I am enjoying every second with him.”
The Cardinals’ problems can not only be attributed to the absence of catcher Yadier Molina, who went on the disabled list July 31 with a sprained right knee – the team is in a funk well before Molina injury, and it are only 29-31 since June 3.
The good news is, the Cardinals snapped a four-game losing streak Sunday, they have Adam Wainwright, Shelby Miller and Lance Lynn lined up to face the Pirates in St. Louis and they expect to activate Molina for the last game series.
Molina is the leading candidate for National League MVP before he went on the DL, and the loss of such an offensive and defensive foundation in fact be harmed.
The 2006 Red Sox are 63-41 when catcher Jason Varitek went to the DL with cartilage damage in his left knee. The team went 10-23 without him and eventually finished third.
Around the Horn
• Some officials say recent Braves teams 14-game winning streak stemmed in part from manager Fredi Gonzalez’s decision to change its lineup and bat Jason Heyward, Freddie Freeman and Justin Upton in the first three places.
Gonzalez made the move July 27, the second game winning streak. Heyward, 6-foot-5 and 240 pounds, does not fit the mold prototypical leadoff. But Gonzalez, a member of the Society for American Baseball Research (Sabr), has shown that he is open to new ideas.
The Braves outfielder Reed Johnson expect to return soon from left knee tendinitis, but they want to add another bench bat – a legitimate power threat – before the August 31 deadline for setting postseason rosters.
• Scouts continue to rave about the Mets’ young pitching, which does not end with right-handers Matt Harvey and Zack Wheeler.
“I saw (Noah) Syndergaard a few weeks ago and he was very good, better than Wheeler for me,” one scout said. “(Rafael) gunman threw well (Las) Vegas. (Jenrry) Mejia was pitching at the major league level.
“They also have numerous minor league starting arms like (Michael) Fullmer High A and (Gabriel) and Ynoa (Steve) Low A. Matz (Jonathan) Niese, (Dillon) and GEE (Jeremy) Hefner is functional back-end guys. “